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Impact of Lead Market on Transition Towards New Energy Technology in Automobile Industry in China
GAO Jian, TONG Xin, HE Canfei
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2023, 59 (4): 671-680.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2023.037
Abstract166)   HTML    PDF(pc) (770KB)(92)       Save
This paper takes Chinese automobile industry as an example, and analyzes the technological transition towards new energy under the combined effects of market, policy and local cluster. The aim is to study the influencing factors of enterprises’ green technology adoption with a framework based on lead market theory. The results show that target market is an important driving force for enterprises to adopt new energy technology. But unlike the electronics and other export-oriented products, the enterprises of the automobile supply chain is mainly driven by the domestic market. The demand-side incentive policies through subsidies to new energy vehicle buyers are not sustainable, while the supply-side policies, such as the policy targeting close-loop supply chains for circular economy, have long-term effects on the adoption of new energy technology of enterprises. The enterprises are highly dependent on the technology diffusion of local traditional automobile industry clusters, while collaborative innovation among local new energy automobile enterprises needs to be further strengthened. In conclusion, the synergy of circular economy and low carbon development can be achieved through local collaboration within the industrial cluster in building the sustainable competitiveness for Chinese new energy automobile industry.
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Spatial Analysis of Reverse Logistics for Waste Mobile Phone Based on Extended Producer Responsibility
HUANG Huiting, WANG Tao, TONG Xin
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2018, 54 (5): 1085-1094.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2018.040
Abstract735)   HTML    PDF(pc) (997KB)(228)       Save

This paper takes mobile phone as an example to analyze the innovation of WEEE takeback system in Guangdong. With interviews on various enterprises at different stage along the recycling chain, three models of waste mobile phone collection were identified. Spatial analysis was conducted on the cost of reverse logistics under each model for waste mobile phone collection in Guangdong. The results show that Guangdong will have 16.62 million wasted mobile phones in 2020. The cost of collection for environmental recycling by the municipal waste transportation system is much cheaper than the cost of collection directly by producers. While considering the net profit of internet collection for second-hand sales, the internet collection is more profitable. In conclusion, it is suggested that the producer could integrate the different collection system into their reverse logistic system under the principle of EPR, using the profits from second market sales through internet to cover the cost of environmental recycling.

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Community-Based Tool for Sustainable Transition: Reflection on a Garbage Sorting Experiment in Beijing
TONG Xin, TAO Dongyan, FENG Ling, WEN Bufan
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2018, 54 (1): 207-217.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2017.102
Abstract1193)   HTML12)    PDF(pc) (1145KB)(252)       Save

With a review on the community-based tool developed from common resource management in three perspectives: behavior studies, governance evolution, as well as the scale issue when addressing broader impacts of local collective actions, this paper presents an experimental garbage-sorting initiative in Hongfuyuan (H community), a residential community in northern suburb Beijing. Firstly, the behavior change of the participating households was studied as response to the continuous promotions for three years. The finding is that constant onsite communications were important in shaping people’s attitudes and behaviors, while economic incentives could be effective only in short term. Second, the evolution of the governance structure among all stakeholders in this program was reflected and compared with other communities using the same technology. The result shows that the difference in key enablers in the program could have significant impact on the sorting behavior in practice. Third, the discussion was extended from the community action to the urban waste management system in large, and suggested that the emerging scheme of Extended Producer Responsibility could be helpful to make this kind of programs into sustainable business model by including critical external players into the governance structure. In conclusion, the implications of this research were proposed to apply the participatory approaches in community planning by bridging the scientific research of material flow analysis to the social actions towards sustainable production and consumption.

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Economic Feasibility of Recycling Thin-film Photovoltaic Modules in Shandong Province
LI Mo, TONG Xin
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis    2016, 52 (2): 313-319.   DOI: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2015.153
Abstract845)   HTML    PDF(pc) (889KB)(1161)       Save

This paper takes Shandong Province as example, one of the most aggressive regions in solar energy adoption in China, to examine the economic feasibility of recycling thin-film PV modules. Based on China 8760 electric power grid model and potential of solar demand, total installed capacity of solar photovoltaic cells and spatial distribution in 2050 are estimated. Benefit-cost analysis is conducted for the recycling of CIGS thin-film PV modules through the material flow analysis under three scenarios: 1) economy of scale, with one centralized recycling facility serving the whole province; 2) convenience for users, with two large recycling facilities closed to most populated cities, i.e. Jinan and Qingdao; 3) producer responsibility, four major PV producers in Shandong take back the end-of-life products and build recycling facilities close to their plants. The result shows that solution 3 has cost advantage in take back transportation. The paper discusses the potential to encourage producer responsibility in the PV manufacturing sector, and its implication in the entire energy industry.

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Spatial Interaction of Urban Residence and Workplace: An UrbanSim Application in Yichang, China
SHI Jin,TONG Xin,ZHANG Hongmou,TAO Dongyan
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract733)      PDF(pc) (1538KB)(608)       Save
UrbanSim was used to explore the spatial interaction of urban residence and workplace in Yichang City of Hubei Province. The simulation of urban spatial dynamics from 2010 to 2015 highlighted that the population and employment in Yichang would agglomerate towards the urbanized areas along the Yangtze River. The authors built a coupling mechanism between the residential and employment location choices in the models by sharing several independent variables so as to reveal the interaction between households and jobs at micro-level, which was previously absent in the operational model of UrbanSim.
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Sufficiency and Necessity for the Identifiability of An Important Type of Ancillary Information in A Causal Model
TONG Xingwei,ZHENG Zhongguo,ZHANG Yanyan,CUI Xianwei
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract952)            Save
Much of epidemiological and social science research is devoted to estimation of causal effect. Generally, the causal effect is not identifiable without any constraint which is called the ancillary information in this paper. First the definition of the identifiability for the ancillary information is proposed and then sufficient and necessary conditions for the identifiability of an important type of ancillary information are discussed. Finally, the results are expanded to a more common case.
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Bayesian Estimation of A Circle
TONG Xingwei,ZHENG Zhongguo
Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis   
Abstract620)            Save
It is shown how to use bayesian theorem in estimating the parameters of a circle when angular differences between successive data points are known. The posterior distribution of the radius and consequently the confidence interval for the radius are derived.
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